Here's How High Wall Street Thinks the S&P 500 Could Go Next Year

8 hours ago 2

David Jagielski, CPA, The Motley Fool

Sat, December 13, 2025 astatine 7:50 AM CST 5 min read

The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) is connected way for different beardown twelvemonth successful 2025, with its gains frankincense acold sitting astatine astir 16%. It's continued to deed grounds levels successful ample portion owed to the maturation successful tech and specifically, artificial quality (AI). But amid that growth, there's been rising interest that possibly stocks are becoming progressively overvalued, and that the marketplace whitethorn beryllium owed for a correction.

However, different analysts and immoderate apical concern banks connected Wall Street stay bullish astir adjacent year, believing that there's inactive much maturation up for the S&P 500. Here's a look astatine conscionable however precocious they deliberation the scale -- presently astir 6,850 -- mightiness spell successful 2026.

Investor pointing astatine  a chart.

Image source: Getty Images.

There are varying terms targets for the S&P 500 adjacent year, but overall, the experts connected Wall Street expect 2026 to beryllium different bully twelvemonth for the market. Here's a look astatine the scope of estimates.

  • 8,000: This is among the astir bullish forecasts, with Deutsche Bank expecting the S&P 500 to deed 8,000 by the extremity of adjacent year. The slope believes that net maturation volition continue, expecting double-digit returns yet again for the index. That would connote maturation of astir 16% from wherever it is today.

  • 7,800: Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo are projecting maturation of astir 14% for the S&P 500 by the extremity of adjacent year, arsenic they besides judge that determination is much net maturation to travel from businesses.

  • 7,500: Both HSBC and J.P. Morgan task that the S&P 500 volition emergence to this level, which would correspond a instrumentality of astir 9%, and it would beryllium the slowest maturation for the scale of the past 4 years. JPMorgan, however, does spot it perchance rising to 8,000, but that's if involvement rates proceed to travel down.

These are each reasonably optimistic terms targets for the S&P 500, which would suggest that, astatine worst, the scale volition execute somewhat beneath its semipermanent mean of 10%, if not acold better.

How good the banal marketplace volition bash adjacent twelvemonth volition beryllium connected aggregate factors, including involvement rates, inflation, tariffs, planetary trade, and possibly adjacent the ongoing struggle involving Russia and Ukraine. Plus, determination could beryllium caller issues that originate on the way. Ultimately, there's nary crystal shot to accidental that the marketplace is definitively going to extremity up rising by a definite amount, oregon that 2026 volition beryllium different beardown year.


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