Selena Maranjian, The Motley Fool
Wed, February 4, 2026 astatine 4:27 AM CST 4 min read
Let's play a what-if game. Imagine that you plunk, say, $500 successful Warren Buffett's company, Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) (NYSE: BRK.B). (Note that Buffett precocious retired, and the caller CEO is simply a longtime lieutenant, Greg Abel, successful whom Buffett has expressed large confidence.) What would your involvement beryllium worthy successful a decade?
Here's a look astatine that question.
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With a caller marketplace worth of astir $1 trillion, Berkshire Hathaway is simply a classical bluish spot stock. It's not presently a dividend-paying stock, which is simply a spot antithetic for a well-run institution of its size, but immoderate speculate that Abel whitethorn good institute a dividend. (The company's third-quarter study revealed a currency hoard that has reached $382 billion, aft all.)
If you put successful Berkshire Hathaway, you'll beryllium a portion proprietor of galore businesses wholly owned by Berkshire, specified arsenic GEICO, Benjamin Moore, See's Candies, and the full BNSF railroad -- and you'll person a involvement successful Berkshire's banal portfolio, too, which features large positions successful companies specified arsenic Apple, American Express, Coca-Cola, and Bank of America. (Berkshire precocious owned 9% of Coca-Cola, for example, and 2% of Apple.)
So what benignant of instrumentality tin you expect from Berkshire implicit the adjacent 10 years? Here's however it's done successful the past:
| Past 1 year | 1.60% |
| Past 3 years | 15.53% |
| Past 5 years | 15.91% |
| Past 10 years | 13.90% |
| Past 15 years | 12.49% |
Source: Data from Morningstar.com arsenic of Jan. 29, 2026.
We shouldn't expect specified abdominous returns each year, though. Remember that the banal marketplace has averaged yearly returns of adjacent to 10% implicit galore decades -- and Berkshire is nary longer a modest-sized and nimble fast-grower.
Still, let's beryllium a spot blimpish and presume that the banal volition mean a full yearly instrumentality of, say, 11% implicit the coming decennary -- with oregon without a dividend. If it does, that volition boost your stake's worth to $1,420.
Here's what it volition beryllium worthy astatine antithetic maturation levels (since we can't cognize precisely however the banal -- oregon the marketplace -- volition do):
| 7% | $984 |
| 8% | $1,079 |
| 9% | $1,184 |
| 10% | $1,297 |
| 11% | $1,420 |
| 12% | $1,553 |
| 13% | $1,697 |
| 14% | $1,854 |
| 15% | $2,023 |
Calculations by author.

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