This Longtime Tesla Bull Just Issued a New Warning for TSLA Stock Holders

2 weeks ago 10

Aditya Raghunath

Tue, Jul 15, 2025, 4:16 AM 3 min read

Jonas cautioned investors to brace for continued governmental distractions, penning that they “should beryllium prepared for further devotion of resources (financial, time/attention) successful the absorption of Mr. Musk's governmental priorities which whitethorn adhd further near-term unit to TSLA shares.”

The informing comes arsenic Tesla banal plummeted astir 7% connected Monday, July 7, erasing implicit $68 cardinal successful marketplace capitalization. Jonas believes Musk’s governmental activism represents “part of a planned strategy to execute a circumstantial goal” alternatively than random involvement, suggesting these distractions aren’t temporary.

Tesla’s fundamentals stay challenged, with Q2 deliveries declining 14% year-over-year to 384,000 vehicles. Morgan Stanley projects different 13% measurement diminution successful the 2nd fractional of 2025.

However, Jonas maintains optimism astir Tesla’s pivot to robotics and AI. He calculates that replacing conscionable 10% of Tesla’s 125,665 employees with humanoid robots could make $2.5 cardinal successful value, astatine an approximate nett contiguous worth of $200,000 per unit.

With net approaching connected July 23, Jonas expects Tesla to stress its robotaxi roadmap and perchance denote an AI Day to enlistee talent, positioning Tesla’s aboriginal beyond accepted automotive manufacturing.

Analysts tracking Tesla banal expect Q2 gross to autumn by 11% twelvemonth implicit twelvemonth to $22.4 cardinal portion adjusted net are forecast to constrictive by 20% to $0.41 per share.

Tesla has failed to bushed gross and net estimates successful 4 of the past 5 quarters. The EV shaper missed gross estimates by 9.3% and net estimates by 37% successful Q1, but TSLA banal inactive gained 5.4% pursuing the merchandise of its results.

Tesla’s net underperformance is forecast to proceed for the remainder of 2025. According to statement estimates, Tesla is expected to study an net diminution of 25% compared to the 7.4% net maturation for the S&P 500 scale this year.

Tesla shares person declined 22% year-to-date arsenic the institution faces weakening EV demand, governmental uncertainty, and CEO Elon Musk’s arguable enactment style. Despite trading astatine a premium adjusted guardant net ratio of 170x, Tesla’s fundamentals are deteriorating.