Rich Duprey
Sat, May 16, 2026 astatine 12:22 PM CDT 5 min read
Quick Read
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SpaceX (SPCX) is targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation for its June 11 pricing and June 12 trading debut, instantly making it 1 of the world’s largest publically traded companies contempt retail investors historically underperforming connected mega IPOs. Meta fell 47% from its post-IPO peak, Alibaba 26%, and Saudi Aramco 22%, with astir 64% of each IPOs underperforming the broader marketplace by much than 10 percent points implicit 3 years.
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SpaceX’s monolithic $1.75 trillion valuation leaves small country for maturation and positions the institution susceptible to the aforesaid hype-driven illness that crushed Coinbase (down 75% wrong a year) and Rivian (down 80% from peak), portion the mega IPO could propulsion superior from existing tech and aerospace stocks arsenic the S&P 500 already trades astatine 23 times guardant net versus its 16-18 times humanities average.
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For years, investors person watched backstage companies enactment backstage longer portion Wall Street’s biggest gains progressively went to task superior firms and organization wealth managers. That’s portion of wherefore the upcoming IPO of SpaceX has generated truthful overmuch excitement. Retail investors yet get a changeable astatine owning 1 of the world’s astir influential companies.
And marque nary mistake -- this is nary mean IPO. According to Reuters, SpaceX is targeting a June 11 pricing and plans to statesman trading connected June 12 nether the ticker SPCX. Reuters besides reported the valuation could scope arsenic precocious arsenic $1.75 trillion.
That would instantly marque SpaceX 1 of the largest publically traded companies connected Earth. But earlier investors unreserved to deed the bargain fastener connected opening day, past suggests patience whitethorn beryllium the smarter move.
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Mega IPOs Often Leave Investors Holding the Bag
The banal marketplace loves a blistery IPO story. Few offerings person attracted much anticipation than SpaceX. Between reusable rockets, authorities contracts, and the Starlink outer business, the institution sits astatine the halfway of the modern abstraction economy.
Still, excitement and concern returns are not ever the aforesaid thing.
According to Nasdaq research, astir 64% of IPOs underperform the broader marketplace implicit their archetypal 3 years. Many way by much than 10 percent points arsenic the archetypal hype fades and valuations normalize.
The information connected the biggest IPOs is telling:
| Company | Year | Capital Raised | 6-Month Decline From Post-IPO Peak |
| Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) | 2012 | $16 billion | 47% |
| Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) | 2014 | $21.8 billion | 26% |
| Saudi Aramco | 2019 | $25.6 billion | 22% |
| Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER) | 2019 | $8.1 billion | 18% |
SpaceX could look the aforesaid issue. At a $1.75 trillion valuation, SPCX would debut worthy much than companies similar Alphabet were conscionable a fewer years ago. Investors buying connected time 1 whitethorn already beryllium paying tomorrow’s terms today.

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