Tesla's Price Targets Are Coming Down, but Many Analysts Still See Plenty of Upside

2 hours ago 3

David Jagielski, CPA, The Motley Fool

Sat, April 18, 2026 astatine 5:05 PM CDT 3 min read

Analyst expectations tin alteration implicit time, and portion they aren't cleanable oregon guaranteed predictors of wherever a banal mightiness go, they tin beryllium adjuvant successful gauging the level of bullishness astir a stock. If the marketplace sentiment is beardown astir a concern and its results are encouraging, analysts volition apt rise their terms targets. And erstwhile the prospects are little than exciting, you tin expect to spot immoderate downgrades.

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) is simply a banal that's been struggling of late. It's down 11% this year, and concerns are rising astir its quality to vie successful an progressively much competitory electrical conveyance (EV) market. That has led galore analysts to little their terms targets for the banal recently. But adjacent amid those downgrades, immoderate analysts spot overmuch much country for the banal to rise. Could Tesla beryllium a bully banal to bargain today?

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Analyst looking astatine  charts.

Image source: Getty Images.

Opinions connected Tesla alteration wildly. And a batch tin travel down to whether you presumption this arsenic chiefly an EV banal oregon an artificial quality (AI) institution that inactive has overmuch much maturation ahead. The EV broadside of the concern hasn't been looking each that large recently, with Tesla's margins and profits declining past year.

Most analysts who person been changing their terms targets successful caller months connected Tesla person been lowering them. The statement expert terms people is present conscionable nether $399, suggesting Tesla's stock, which closed astatine $400.62 connected Friday, has tally retired of country to emergence successful the abbreviated term. But aggregate analysts spot the banal rising by much than 20%, with immoderate predicting it could scope much than $500.

Although it's been falling successful worth this year, Tesla's banal is by nary means a inexpensive buy; its price-to-earnings aggregate is astir 370, which means you truly person to emotion the concern and judge successful CEO Elon Musk and that this volition beryllium a monolithic AI institution successful the future, for the banal to beryllium a bully bargain astatine its existent price.

The hazard with Tesla is that if capitalist sentiment sours, the banal could rapidly spell into a freefall. You lone person to spell backmost to 2022 to get a reminder of however atrocious things tin get. That year, the banal plunged 65%.

There tin beryllium sizeable upside for the banal if the concern delivers connected lofty AI goals, including selling robots successful the adjacent future, but that would beryllium a best-case scenario. If you don't person a precocious hazard tolerance, you whitethorn privation to see safer maturation stocks alternatively of Tesla.

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