Adam Levy, The Motley Fool
Tue, June 9, 2026 astatine 9:06 AM CDT 5 min read
Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU) is the latest AI semiconductor banal to articulation the $1 trillion club. The representation chipmaker has been 1 of the hottest stocks implicit the past 12 months, climbing astir 800% arsenic of this writing. And immoderate analysts deliberation the banal tin proceed climbing higher from here.
But investors whitethorn beryllium amended disconnected buying a antithetic semiconductor stock. A elephantine successful its ain right, it's already worthy astir $650 billion. Investors could find that the institution is worthy much than Micron by 2028.
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Can Micron support climbing from here?
Micron's stock terms has been driven higher by fantabulous fiscal results, chiefly acknowledgment to its pricing powerfulness successful representation chips. Momentum has besides helped propulsion the banal terms higher, arsenic investors don't privation to miss retired connected the megatrend.
There's a terrible shortage successful representation chips close now, arsenic request for high-bandwidth representation (HBM) has accrued substantially implicit the past year. HBM chips connect straight to GPUs and different AI accelerators, alleviating 1 of the biggest bottlenecks successful AI inference (reading and penning data). The gathering blocks of HBM are DRAM chips, and a azygous HBM bundle tin incorporate up to 16 DRAM dies (the wafers connected which the representation chips are etched). That's created a immense measurement up successful capableness demands.
It takes a agelong clip to acceptable up caller cleanrooms and physique each caller spot manufacturing facilities, truthful with the supply/demand imbalance, Micron has been capable to rise prices significantly. Management says its DRAM pricing accrued successful the mid-60% scope sequentially past quarter, resulting successful 207% year-over-year gross maturation for the segment.
But further capableness is coming. Not conscionable from Micron but besides from its competitors. The proviso constraints should easiness starting successful 2028. At that point, analysts expect net to peak, and Micron should spot a crisp diminution successful net by 2029.
That's the cyclical quality of the representation spot industry. Micron's trailing P/E astatine past net peaks has ranged from astir 3 times net to 8 times earnings. Analysts presently estimation Micron's full-year 2027 net per stock to scope $106 earlier falling somewhat for the full-year 2028. Earnings should highest astatine immoderate constituent successful mid-2028. Based connected existent expectations, Micron's banal terms could autumn considerably betwixt present and 2028 unless it importantly outpaces net expectations. I estimation the banal volition beryllium worthy astir $517.50 by 2028 based connected a P/E ratio of 4.5 astatine its peak. That's astir fractional its existent price, and it would springiness the institution a marketplace headdress of little than $600 billion.

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