Is Rivian the Smartest Investment You Can Make Today?

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Ryan Vanzo, The Motley Fool

Mon, Mar 24, 2025, 9:44 AM 4 min read

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Many maturation stocks person struggled truthful acold this year. Rivian (NASDAQ: RIVN) is nary exception. Shares are down astir 16% twelvemonth to date, though the stock's volatility has shifted this fig astir rather a bit.

The unusual happening is that shares are dropping successful worth close arsenic the institution gears up for its biggest maturation spurt successful years. Could this beryllium the smartest concern you marque successful 2025?

As an electric car stock, Rivian struggled successful 2024 arsenic the manufacture dealt with lower-than-expected income growth. To beryllium clear, electrical conveyance (EV) income inactive roseate past year, but maturation rates fell beneath astir analysts' forecasts.

Without a well-known marque sanction similar Tesla, oregon the near-term anticipation for caller exemplary introductions similar Lucid Group, Rivian has struggled for relevancy. But that conflict could beryllium implicit wrong 12 months, creating the imaginable for large upside to the existent banal price.

One of the biggest maturation hurdles that EV makers look is making affordable, wide marketplace vehicles a reality. Producing inexpensive cars typically requires scale, but the comparatively tiny size of caller automakers similar Rivian and Lucid makes that difficult. Tesla addressed this situation by archetypal introducing a luxury conveyance with little volumes and higher terms points to found the EV shaper arsenic a brand. Only aft it achieved this archetypal standard did the institution determination into higher-volume, lower-price-point models.

Automakers similar Rivian and Lucid person attempted to travel this proven program for growth. Lucid conscionable introduced its 2nd luxury exemplary earlier this year. But by galore metrics, Rivian is simply a twelvemonth oregon 2 up due to the fact that it already has 2 luxury models connected the market. Starting successful aboriginal 2026, it besides plans to statesman shipping the archetypal of 3 caller wide marketplace vehicles, each of which are expected to person a terms constituent of nether $50,000. That terms constituent should unlock tens of millions of caller buyers for Rivian's vehicles.

When you look astatine expert expectations for maturation this year, Rivian comes successful dormant past versus the competition, with conscionable 8.3% gross maturation anticipated for 2025. Understandably, Rivian shares are priced the cheapest connected a price-to-sales (P/S) basis, trading astatine conscionable 2.3 times sales. But if you look up to 2026, this equation could flip. Mass marketplace vehicles were the cardinal to renewed maturation for Tesla. So if you're consenting to look beyond Wall Street's emblematic 12-month clip horizon, you could foreseeably drawback up Rivian shares astatine a discount before the adjacent limb of maturation arrives.

Should you possibly hold a spot much earlier jumping in? The reply mightiness astonishment you.

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