Ricardo Pillai
Sun, May 3, 2026 astatine 11:40 AM CDT 3 min read
Is BKNG a bully banal to buy? We came crossed a bullish thesis on Booking Holdings Inc. connected Sunrise Capital’s Substack. In this article, we volition summarize the bulls’ thesis connected BKNG. Booking Holdings Inc.'s stock was trading astatine $190.86 arsenic of April 21st. BKNG’s trailing and guardant P/E were 29.00 and 17.92 respectively according to Yahoo Finance.
Booking Holdings Inc., unneurotic with its subsidiaries, provides online and accepted question and edifice reservations and related services successful the United States and internationally. BKNG is being mischaracterized arsenic an “AI loser” amid the broader SaaS sell-off, creating what appears to beryllium a wide marketplace disconnect. The halfway interest centers connected disintermediation, wherever ample connection models could theoretically bypass online question agencies by aggregating listings and completing bookings. However, this overlooks the operational complexity embedded successful Booking’s model.
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The company’s moat is rooted successful its power of a fragmented “long-tail” proviso base, wherever astir 90% of listings travel from autarkic hotels and alternate accommodations that trust heavy connected Booking for request generation, pricing, and inventory management. These suppliers deficiency the capableness to optimize for AI-driven discovery, reinforcing Booking’s relation arsenic a captious intermediary.
Furthermore, question is not simply a find occupation but a transactional and regulatory one. Booking operates arsenic a merchant of grounds crossed implicit 100 outgo methods and 50+ currencies, managing trust, compliance, refunds, and lawsuit work astatine scale—functions that AI platforms person neither the inducement nor infrastructure to replicate. Historical evidence, specified arsenic Google’s failed “Book connected Google” initiative, underscores the trouble of moving down the funnel.
Importantly, large platforms similar Google and Meta are economically aligned with Booking, benefiting from its important advertizing walk alternatively than competing with it. As AI evolves, it is much apt to relation arsenic a top-of-funnel find furniture that feeds into Booking alternatively than replacing it. With shares down astir 25% and valuation compressing to ~15x EV/EBIT, Booking remains a structurally advantaged compounder positioned to payment from, alternatively than beryllium disrupted by, AI.
Previously, we covered a bullish thesis connected Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG) by Jimmy Investor successful April 2025, which highlighted its OTA dominance, beardown financials, and AI-driven growth. BKNG’s banal terms has depreciated by astir 1.38% (adjusted for banal split) since our coverage. Sunrise Capital shares a akin presumption but emphasizes connected mispriced AI disruption fears and Booking’s resilience done its long-tail proviso and payments infrastructure.

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