Intel Stock Will Trade At This Price in 2028

Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) is the comeback communicative of the decennary truthful far. Shares are up 224.77% twelvemonth to day and 483.16% implicit the past year, riding foundry wins, NVIDIA capital, and a CEO who has the institution moving connected time. Q1 saw Data Center and AI gross leap 22% YoY to $5.05B and Intel Foundry ascent 16% to $5.42B. Can Intel deed $200 a stock by 2028?

What's Holding Intel Back

The casual wealth has already been made. Intel traded astatine $20.55 a twelvemonth ago, and the determination from $65 successful precocious April to $119.84 happened successful astir a period (+83.61% successful 30 days, +10.18% successful the past week). That's a parabolic tally connected a banal with a beta of 2.19.

The carnivore lawsuit is real. Trailing EPS is antagonistic $0.60. Intel Foundry posted a $2.51B operating nonaccomplishment successful Q4 2025. Q1 included a $4.07B Mobileye goodwill impairment. Quarterly net maturation was -71.7% YoY. Fundamentals haven't caught up to price.

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Wall Street Says Down 27%. I Disagree.

The Wall Street statement people is $87.86, implying downside from today. The breakdown: 2 Strong Buy, 11 Buy, 30 Hold, 2 Sell, 3 Strong Sell. Only 27% are bullish.

Our basal lawsuit is $101.88 with a 90% assurance score, the optimistic lawsuit is $115.12, and the bearish lawsuit is $76.08. Those targets anchor connected trailing 12-month numbers carrying restructuring damage. Analysts are pricing the aged Intel, missing 18A measurement manufacturing, the NVIDIA Rubin host-CPU win, and the Google ASIC IPU concern astatine scale. That's the spread analysts are missing.

The Path to $200 Per Share

Reaching $200 from today's terms of $119.84 requires a summation of 66.9%. Spread implicit astir 2 and a fractional years, that's wrong the volatility envelope a 2.19 beta sanction produces.

The aggregate mathematics is uncomfortable. With guardant EPS of $0.60, $200 implies a guardant P/E of 333x. Our basal lawsuit of $101.88 already implies 210x, meaning $200 requires astir 123x further aggregate enlargement connected today's guardant number. That lone works if guardant EPS climbs sharply, which is the full bull thesis.