CNN Data Chief Spots This GOP ‘Illusion’ With Trump — And Its Consequences

CNN’s main information expert Harry Enten connected Monday revealed however President Donald Trump’s dependable dip successful polling could beryllium to wounded Republicans successful adjacent year’s midterms.

“If the House GOP is nether immoderate illusion that Donald Trump’s autumn successful the polls won’t bring them down arsenic well, well, they are surviving connected phantasy island,” Enten said successful a conception with CNN’s John Berman.

Enten — who stressed the time earlier that there’s “no mode to sugarcoat” Trump’s falling support ratings — turned to caller polling from CNBC, The New York Timesand Fox News showing that Democrats fare amended against Republicans by an mean of 4 percent points connected a generic legislature ballot.

He noted that the figures bespeak a “tremendous shift” from November, erstwhile the House GOP won the fashionable ballot by 2.7 percent points.

Enten, erstwhile asked wherever the displacement appears successful the “most pronounced way,” pointed to polling from the Times showing Trump’s nett favorability standing with independents sinking from -9 percent points successful October to -30 percent points this month.

“That’s horrific, that’s historically awful,” helium said of the numbers.

Independents besides favored Democrats much than Republicans by 3 percent points connected a generic ballot successful October, per the Times, a fig that — according to Enten — is “well within” the borderline of error.

This month, Democrats are up 17 percent points with independents implicit the GOP connected a generic ballot.

“There is nary mode connected God’s greenish world that the Republicans tin clasp onto the House of Representatives if they suffer independents by 17 percent points. My goodness, gracious,” Enten said.

“This is what dreams are made of if you’re House Democrats, and it’s each being driven — oregon astatine slightest successful ample portion being driven — by Donald Trump’s accelerated driblet with independents.”

As the president gears up to people 100 days of his 2nd word this week, his occupation support standing has fallen to the lowest astatine oregon adjacent the 100th time successful a presidency since Franklin D. Roosevelt’s 3rd word successful 1945, per an ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos canvass released Sunday.

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