ACCA forecasts moderate global growth in 2026 amid uncertainty

The satellite system is projected to grow astatine a mean though unremarkable gait successful 2026, according to the Association of Chartered Certified Accountants (ACCA).

The enlargement volition beryllium supported by looser monetary policy, fiscal stimulus successful respective large economies and continued momentum from the AI sector.

However, successful its latest Global Economic Outlook, the relation warned of downside risks owed to a volatile and uncertain planetary environment.

In the 3rd variation of the yearly report, the ACCA said planetary maturation successful 2025 held up amended than anticipated contempt important commercialized disruption and elevated argumentation uncertainty.

This resilience is expected to persist into 2026.

The ACCA forecasts that satellite gross home merchandise (GDP) volition emergence by astir 3%, broadly matching past year’s performance. However, the study underscores that the risks are “more firmly skewed to the downside”.

The papers highlights 3 areas it considers pivotal for the coming year: developments successful AI, movements successful precocious system enslaved markets and changes successful planetary commercialized dynamics.

On AI, the study says aboriginal productivity gains from AI concern whitethorn easiness fears of an AI bubble but warns that fading assurance successful those gains could trigger a marketplace correction.

The ACCA warns that a crisp emergence successful authorities enslaved yields could deed economies by lifting debt-servicing costs, triggered by debt-sustainability fears, concerns implicit Federal Reserve independence, governmental instability and tighter argumentation successful Japan.

On trade, the study calls for adjacent monitoring of the continuing knock-on effects of higher US tariffs and notes that risks of renewed commercialized escalation persist.

ACCA main economist and writer of the study Jonathan Ashworth said: “On a cardinal lawsuit scenario, the planetary system should proceed with a dependable enlargement successful 2026, aided by looser monetary policy, fiscal easing and the ongoing AI boom.

“But it is simply a fragile planetary backdrop, amid heightened geopolitical uncertainty, risks of an escalation successful commercialized tensions and concerns astir threats to the Federal Reserve’s independence.”

"ACCA forecasts mean planetary maturation successful 2026 amid uncertainty" was primitively created and published by The Accountant, a GlobalData owned brand.

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