3 Big Bank Stocks Are Spiking Higher -- but Things Could Get Very Interesting on Friday

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Matt Frankel, The Motley Fool

Tue, Apr 8, 2025, 9:53 AM 3 min read

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The banal marketplace was having a beardown time connected Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI), S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC), and Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) each higher by astir 2% arsenic of 12:15 p.m. ET.

However, the fiscal assemblage was 1 of the best-performing areas of the banal market. Megabank JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) was up by 4.2%, portion some Citigroup (NYSE: C) and Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) were some higher by astir 3% for the day.

The large crushed the banal marketplace successful wide is higher is that investors look optimistic tariff deals volition beryllium reached. President Trump posted connected societal media that helium had a "great call" with South Korea, and that China wants to marque a deal. This follows Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reporting that 70 countries are prepared to statesman tariff negotiations.

It's besides important to notation that slope stocks were immoderate of the hardest deed successful the marketplace downturn aft Trump's archetypal tariff announcement past week. Even aft today's rebound, each 3 slope stocks are down betwixt 8.5% and 14% implicit the past week.

JPM Chart

JPM information by YCharts

While banks aren't straight impacted by tariffs, they bash beryllium connected the wellness of the U.S. economy. If the tariffs pb to ostentation and/or a U.S. recession, they could origin indebtedness request to autumn and user default rates to spike higher, some of which would beryllium atrocious for slope profits.

To beryllium clear, nary large tariff deals had been reached astatine the clip of this writing, and the further tariffs Trump announced are inactive acceptable to instrumentality effect astatine midnight connected April 9.

JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo are acceptable to study their first-quarter net connected Friday, April 11, with Citigroup and astir different large fiscal institutions to travel aboriginal adjacent week.

There are a fewer things successful peculiar to support an oculus on. For 1 thing, investors volition beryllium watching delinquency rates and charge-offs for clues astir user health. Of course, the tariff announcement and consequent marketplace plunge happened aft the archetypal 4th ended, but determination person been concerns that defaults could tick higher for a while.

In addition, it volition beryllium absorbing to spot however slope nett involvement margins are performing. The astir caller Federal Reserve involvement complaint chopped took spot successful December 2024, truthful the archetypal 4th volition beryllium the archetypal three-month play wherever the little national funds complaint is reflected successful the numbers.

In a nutshell, portion these 3 slope stocks person been highly volatile recently, we're astir to get a person look astatine however their businesses are really performing.


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